Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.000736 0.000842 0.000954 0.001081 0.001221 0.001370 0.001541
2025-01-05 0.000572 0.000717 0.000883 0.001083 0.001317 0.001580 0.001897
2025-01-12 0.000477 0.000638 0.000829 0.001070 0.001363 0.001703 0.002127
2025-01-19 0.000400 0.000569 0.000777 0.001050 0.001393 0.001804 0.002329
2025-01-26 0.000360 0.000537 0.000766 0.001074 0.001471 0.001959 0.002595
2025-02-02 0.000324 0.000508 0.000753 0.001092 0.001540 0.002102 0.002848
2025-02-09 0.000282 0.000465 0.000716 0.001074 0.001559 0.002180 0.003019
2025-02-16 0.000245 0.000424 0.000678 0.001051 0.001569 0.002243 0.003170
2025-02-23 0.000224 0.000404 0.000668 0.001064 0.001624 0.002366 0.003399
2025-03-02 0.000204 0.000384 0.000655 0.001071 0.001671 0.002478 0.003616
2025-03-09 0.000176 0.000349 0.000618 0.001041 0.001663 0.002513 0.003731
2025-03-16 0.000153 0.000318 0.000582 0.001010 0.001651 0.002543 0.003836
2025-03-23 0.000137 0.000299 0.000566 0.001007 0.001681 0.002631 0.004025
2025-03-30 0.000124 0.000282 0.000551 0.001007 0.001713 0.002723 0.004222
2025-04-06 0.000110 0.000263 0.000531 0.000995 0.001728 0.002790 0.004383
2025-04-13 0.000096 0.000242 0.000508 0.000976 0.001730 0.002837 0.004517
2025-04-20 0.000091 0.000237 0.000509 0.000998 0.001796 0.002978 0.004787
2025-04-27 0.000085 0.000231 0.000508 0.001016 0.001854 0.003109 0.005045
2025-05-04 0.000075 0.000214 0.000488 0.000999 0.001857 0.003158 0.005184
2025-05-11 0.000065 0.000197 0.000465 0.000977 0.001851 0.003192 0.005301
2025-05-18 0.000061 0.000191 0.000462 0.000989 0.001899 0.003309 0.005543
2025-05-25 0.000056 0.000184 0.000457 0.000996 0.001940 0.003415 0.005769
2025-06-01 0.000048 0.000168 0.000432 0.000967 0.001919 0.003425 0.005851